The Zimbabwe Stock Market is expected to trade at 5555.12 Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. It's not going to last and a word to the wise should be sufficient. Coates describes traders in this mind state:I understand that phenomenon very well as I have experienced it over and over again. A series of current and historical charts tracking major U.S. stock market indices. Historical data can be downloaded via the red button on the upper left corner of the chart.

I am fine with that and the truth is that sometimes I do feel like an idiot - nobody gets it right all the time. When bond values start to fall an additional wave of panic will engulf stock and bond traders.For those who really believe that there are painless solutions to these problems I suggest you do a little research. I love the competitive aspects of pitting my skills and talents against others and I admit to being overtaken by the irrational "risk seeking" Coates refers to. As Coates points out it isn't the natural response.The chart below shows what happens in a "bubble" bull market when the market finally capitulates. Coates makes the point that a chemical transformation actually occurs in these situations. Members can click on these charts to see live versions - PRO members will see complete versions while other members will only see data from 1980 until now. My most recent addition to the I have been challenged for my ideas, disparaged and called an "idiot" by one or two readers. US stocks had a wild ride to nowhere in 2011. Notice how this list peaked in October 2008, 5 months prior to the S&P500 putting in its final low in March of the following year: The point of this chart is to reinforce the fact that, at the end of the day, this is a market of stocks, not a “stock market”. Of course even it we do go over the "fiscal cliff" with scheduled tax hikes and spending cuts we still end up increasing our debt to GDP as these moves are not sufficient to bring us to a balanced budget.If we do simply delay action for another year or try to piecemeal something together we will certainly find our carrying costs going a lot higher in much the same way as the euro zone countries have experienced. You can't fight the Fed and if you do you are just an "idiot." The truth is that the "fiscal cliff" can't be avoided. Some bearish traders felt that Cat's earnings were an indicator of things to come. SPY closed at 134.58.I have written extensively on what I see as the coming stock market sell-off along with several other contributing authors on SA. In a "bubble" crash buying the dips is akin to reaching out and trying to catch a falling knife. The problem still exists - massive deficit spending and out of control debt levels.If we do just postpone the problem for another year our debt will climb to well above 100% of GDP and we are guaranteed a credit downgrade. Trading suits my nature. Congress was fighting with the debt ceiling. At that point you will realize that you have indeed made a tragic blunder but it will be to late.The crash of 2011 was up from its base low of 25% on July 22. That isn't a wild guess - that is an absolute certainty. The market did bounce off that low and then resumed its descent moving to -11% on October 4. We already have a number of companies reporting that their 3rd quarter will The signs are all around us but as of today we are still in a safe zone on stock prices. Investors will begin to demand more for the risk they take when buying U.S. debt. With success comes confidence - a confidence that is derived from increased testosterone levels and it is much more prevalent in men than women.Coates notes that women have a more healthy fear in risk situations than men. They know better - at least some of them do -and they will simply put the blame for the recession on the other side of the aisle or with the President or wherever they decide to put the blame to get it off their own shoulders.

Still, after a number of these boom-to-bust moments I have come to recognize this simple fact - every good run in the markets is followed by a bad run. (See chart below.) These moves can last a lot longer than one would think and go a lot higher than anyone would think but when they end they end with a vengeance.John Coates, a former hedge fund trader turned neuroscientist, wrote an excellent book - "The Hour Between Dog And Wolf" - on the physical transformation that takes place just prior to a fall. Backlinks from other websites are the lifeblood of our site and a primary source of new traffic.If you use our datasets on your site or blog, we ask that you provide attribution via a link back to this page. The day before the market had surged higher on news that eurozone leaders had worked out a deal to address the debt problem in Greece.

DJIA | A complete Dow Jones Industrial Average index overview by MarketWatch. For men it is an adrenaline rush - a "fight or flight" response is triggered and with recent successes the tendency is to show no fear - in other words to choose the "fight" response.I am sure there are a lot of bulls in the markets today who have made a really nice profit over the last several weeks and expect it to continue. Please check your download folder. In a book I recently completed I make the following comment and it is worth committing to memory:That is the nature of investing in the stock market. On the other hand I've been at this game for 40 years and I've seen a lot of markets crash.

These charts show long-term historical trends for commonly followed US market indexes. Click Here to see all of our Historical Chart Galleries. The first response of irrational bulls is to conclude that the down days leading up to the capitulation sell-off are just a normal correction in a bull market - a temporary pause before the move continues. It is a vicious thing and it happens really fast. A little good news, a little bad news but for the most part it was business as usual. Our politicians will suggest that a recession is avoidable but that is what politicians do. That is not the way most do it though. Yes we can extend the tax cuts and delay the spending cuts that are scheduled to reduce deficit spending by $600 billion dollars next year but there are consequences to doing that.

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